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Add offline WGMM variant evaluator and burst-aware scheduling adjustment#4

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codex/validate-wgmm-model-prediction-issue
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Add offline WGMM variant evaluator and burst-aware scheduling adjustment#4
334456777 wants to merge 1 commit into
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codex/validate-wgmm-model-prediction-issue

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Motivation

  • Add an offline evaluation harness to compare WGMM prediction variants using release data.
  • Improve scheduler robustness by making frequency decisions aware of recent publication bursts.

Description

  • Add tools/eval_wgmm_variants.py which implements predict_baseline, predict_hazard, and predict_cooldown predictors plus an evaluate harness to run randomized replay experiments against data/mtime.txt and data/miss_history.txt.
  • Introduce MIN_BURST_EVENTS and compute_burst_adjustment in wgmm_monitor/wgmm/scheduler.py to compute a burst-intensity ratio from recent publishes.
  • Apply the burst adjustment to the scheduler's relative_score inside decide_next_frequency so the mapping to check intervals is dampened or amplified based on recent publishing intensity.

Testing

  • Ran the repository test suite with pytest -q and the tests completed successfully.

Codex Task

Copilot AI review requested due to automatic review settings May 15, 2026 12:14
@334456777 334456777 closed this May 15, 2026
@334456777 334456777 removed the request for review from Copilot May 15, 2026 12:36
@334456777 334456777 deleted the codex/validate-wgmm-model-prediction-issue branch June 10, 2026 04:22
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