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feat(intelligence): efficiency scoring, AI smell detection, burn rate forecasting#85

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feat(intelligence): efficiency scoring, AI smell detection, burn rate forecasting#85
Yagnasena1999 wants to merge 15 commits into
VasiHemanth:mainfrom
Yagnasena1999:tokentelemetry-intelligence-layer

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Summary

Three new analytical capabilities built on top of the existing session data — all pure computation, no new required dependencies.

1. Agent Efficiency Score (backend/scoring.py)

A 0–100 score per session measuring how productively tokens were used:

score = output_ratio × error_penalty × turn_penalty × 100
  • output_ratio = output tokens / total tokens (more output = more productive)
  • error_penalty = 1 / (1 + errors × 0.15) — penalises tool failures
  • turn_penalty = 1 / (1 + log(turns) × 0.18) — rewards concise prompts

Every session in /sessions now includes efficiency: 73.2 and efficiency_label: good | fair | poor.

2. AI Smell Detection (backend/smells.py)

Rule-based detection of 5 anti-patterns:

Smell Threshold Severity
context_rot > 200 turns warning → critical at 400
loop_trap ≥ 8 consecutive identical tool calls critical
tool_thrash ≥ 25 reads of the same file warning
high_error_rate errors > 20% of turns warning → critical at 40%
massive_session > 2M total tokens warning → critical at 5M

Every session includes smells: [{type, title, detail, severity}]. New endpoint GET /smells?project=<path> returns only sessions with warnings.

3. Burn Rate Forecasting (backend/forecast.py)

Linear projection of token usage toward monthly subscription limits:

  • Daily token buckets over 60 days
  • 7-day average vs prior-7-day average → trend detection (accelerating / steady / slowing)
  • Projects tokens to end of month at current pace
  • Calculates days-until-limit for Claude Pro (500M), Claude Max (2B), Codex Plus (200M), Copilot (100M)
  • Exposed via GET /forecast?plan=claude_pro

Frontend (frontend/src/app/page.tsx)

  • Efficiency badge: new ⚡ Score column in the Recent Activity table — colour-coded pill (green ≥70, amber ≥40, red <40)
  • Smell indicator: icon on session rows with smell count and critical/warning colour
  • Burn Rate card in the dashboard sidebar:
    • Daily token rate (7d avg) + projected monthly total
    • Progress bar vs plan limit with urgency colouring
    • Alert when limit is ≤7 days away at current pace
    • Trend label with week-over-week percentage

No new required dependencies

All Python modules use stdlib only (math, datetime, collections). Lucide icons used are already in the project's icon set.

Test plan

  • Start backend — confirm /sessions response includes efficiency and smells fields
  • Hit GET /forecast — confirm JSON with daily_avg_7d, trend, days_until_limit
  • Hit GET /smells — confirm only sessions with warnings are returned
  • Hit GET /efficiency — confirm sessions sorted by efficiency score descending
  • Open dashboard — confirm Score column appears with coloured badges
  • Open dashboard — confirm ⚠ icon appears on sessions with high error rate or many turns
  • Open dashboard — confirm Burn Rate card renders in right sidebar

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

… forecasting

Rebased onto origin/main (ad7d729) — fully compatible with remote access,
local power costing, CO2 footprint, billing modes and all Phase 2 features
merged since June 7.

### backend/scoring.py (new)
- 0–100 efficiency score per session: output_ratio × error_penalty × turn_penalty × 100
- Higher score = more output tokens per total token, fewer errors, fewer turns
- score_label(): maps score to good (≥70) / fair (≥40) / poor

### backend/smells.py (new)
- Rule-based detector for 5 anti-patterns:
  context_rot (>200 turns), loop_trap (≥8 consecutive identical tool calls),
  tool_thrash (≥25 reads of same file), high_error_rate (>20% errors),
  massive_session (>2M tokens)
- Each smell carries severity warning | critical

### backend/forecast.py (new)
- Daily token bucketing, linear regression, trend detection (accelerating/steady/slowing)
- Projects monthly token usage and days-until-limit vs plan quotas
- Plans: claude_pro 500M, claude_max 2B, codex_plus 200M, copilot 100M

### backend/main.py
- Imports all three modules after existing `from pricing import`
- Scoring + smell detection loop attached to every session after global sort
- Three new endpoints: GET /forecast, GET /smells, GET /efficiency

### frontend/src/app/page.tsx
- Smell interface + efficiency/smells fields added to Session interface
- ForecastResponse interface
- forecastRes useResource hook (polls /forecast every 60s)
- New Score column (⚡ badge) in Recent Activity table, colour-coded green/amber/red
- Smell warning icon (⚠) on session rows, critical = red, warning = amber
- Burn Rate card in dashboard sidebar: daily rate, projected month, plan progress bar,
  urgency alert when limit ≤7 days away — all compatible with Vasi's new billing framing

No new required dependencies. Zero TypeScript errors against latest codebase.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@Yagnasena1999 Yagnasena1999 force-pushed the tokentelemetry-intelligence-layer branch from 9136b01 to e50b008 Compare June 9, 2026 18:38
Yagnasena1999 and others added 14 commits June 10, 2026 00:13
…l detection, burn rate

Adds a new Intelligence Layer section covering all three features in this branch:
efficiency score formula, smell detection rules and thresholds, burn rate forecast
plan limits and API response shape. Also adds three new bullet points to Features list.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Correlates structural prompt features against efficiency scores using
Pearson r to surface what makes sessions good or bad.

Backend - new backend/prompt_analysis.py:
  - extract_features: 10 structural/semantic features per prompt
  - classify_task: regex task type fix/build/refactor/analyze/test/deploy
  - _pearson: Pearson correlation, pure stdlib no scipy/numpy
  - analyse_prompt_dna: correlations sorted by abs(r), task-type breakdown
  - GET /insights/prompt-dna endpoint wired into main.py

Frontend - page.tsx:
  - PromptDnaResponse interface + DnaCorrelation type
  - Prompt DNA card in right sidebar polling every 120s
  - Boosts/Hurts efficiency sections with r-value badges and insight tooltips
  - By-task-type mini bar chart coloured by score band

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Adds the Prompt DNA section to the Intelligence Layer docs:
feature extraction table, task classification, UI description,
API shape with example response. Also updates the feature list
bullet and the implementation notes table to include the 4th module.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Compares efficiency scores across model names, filterable by task type.

Backend new backend/model_comparison.py:
  - compare_models(sessions, task_type): groups sessions by model name
  - Per model: avg/median/p75/best efficiency, total/avg tokens, task breakdown
  - task_types_available list for dynamic filter pills
  - GET /insights/model-comparison endpoint with optional task_type param

Frontend page.tsx:
  - ModelRow + ModelComparisonResponse interfaces
  - modelTaskFilter state plus useEffect for dynamic URL refetch on filter change
  - Full-width Model comparison Section below main grid
  - Task type filter pills with active state
  - Model rows: rank badge, model name, agent colour, avg bar, p75 bar,
    best/sess/avg-tok stats, task breakdown pills coloured by score band

Real data: claude-sonnet-4-6 (68.4) > claude-opus-4-7 (48.4) > gpt-5.5 (0.8)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Adds Multi-Model Comparison section to the Intelligence Layer docs:
stat table, UI description, API shape with example response.
Updates feature list bullet and implementation notes table to 5 modules.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Attaches git context to every session by finding the commit that was
HEAD at or before the session timestamp via subprocess git commands.

Backend - new backend/git_context.py:
  - get_git_info(project, timestamp): resolves git binary with shutil.which
    + Windows fallback path, normalises POSIX-style paths like /c:/...,
    handles datetime objects and ISO strings, 5-min cache per (project, date)
  - git_summary(sessions): aggregates per-project stats across all sessions
  - GET /insights/git-summary endpoint

Per session git_info fields:
  is_git, branch, commit_sha, commit_msg, commit_author,
  commit_time, files_changed, lines_added, lines_deleted

Frontend - page.tsx:
  - GitInfo + GitProjectSummary + GitSummaryResponse interfaces
  - git_info added to Session interface
  - Branch badge under project name in Recent Activity table rows
  - Full-width Repository activity Section: project cards with branch,
    latest commit SHA+msg, +lines/-lines/net and files changed count

Real data: 29 git sessions, 7 repos, 5590 lines added, 440 deleted

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Time-series chart showing daily efficiency over the last 30/60 days
with a 7-day rolling average line, trend direction badge, and streak
detection — answers "am I getting better over time?"

Backend - new backend/trends.py:
  - compute_trends(sessions, days): buckets sessions by calendar day,
    computes avg/best/worst efficiency per day, 7-day rolling average
    (calendar-based window not row-based, so gaps don't skew it),
    trend direction by comparing last-7 vs prior-7 data-days,
    current streak of consecutive good days (avg >= 60)
  - GET /insights/trends?days=30|60

Frontend - page.tsx:
  - TrendDay + TrendsResponse interfaces
  - trendsDays state (30 | 60) with toggle buttons
  - Full-width Section with Recharts ComposedChart: coloured Bar
    (green/amber/red by efficiency band) + brand-colour rolling
    average Line with connectNulls
  - Stats chips: trend badge with WoW delta, overall avg, streak,
    best day callout
  - 60pt ReferenceLine (good threshold)
  - Legend row

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Two new analytics layers that answer "when" and "how" questions
about coding sessions.

Time Intelligence (backend/time_intel.py, GET /insights/time):
  - Groups sessions by UTC hour-of-day and day-of-week
  - Returns per-bucket avg efficiency, session count, token totals
  - Computes peak_hour, worst_hour, peak_dow, peak_period
    (morning/afternoon/evening/night) via weighted period scoring

Tool Footprint (backend/tool_footprint.py, GET /insights/tool-footprint):
  - Buckets sessions by toolset size: lean(1-5) / standard(6-15)
    / heavy(16-30) / bloated(31+)
  - Classifies each tool as core/agent/browser/mcp/meta
  - Per-category presence effect: efficiency with vs without each class
  - Top-15 tools by session frequency with avg efficiency scores

Frontend (page.tsx):
  - TimeIntelResponse + ToolFootprintResponse interfaces
  - useResource hooks for /insights/time and /insights/tool-footprint
  - Time Intelligence section: stats strip (peak hour/day, period,
    avoid callout) + two side-by-side Recharts bar charts (hour + DOW),
    coloured green/amber/red by efficiency band
  - Tool Footprint section: horizontal efficiency bar chart by size
    bucket + scrollable top-tools ranked list with category badges
    and colour-coded efficiency scores

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Connects session cost to efficiency outcomes — answers which model
gives the best value and where money is being wasted.

Backend - new backend/cost_intel.py (GET /insights/cost):
  - by_model: avg cost, total cost, avg efficiency, cost_per_eff_pt,
    avg cache hit % per model — sorted best value first
  - by_task_type: same metrics grouped by task type
  - cache_tiers: sessions bucketed into 5 cache-hit bands (0-20%
    through 80-100%) showing how cache hit % correlates with
    efficiency and cost
  - wasteful: top-5 sessions with highest waste_score = cost
    percentile rank minus efficiency (expensive + low quality)
  - best_value_model: lowest cost_per_eff_pt with >= 2 sessions

Frontend - page.tsx:
  - CostIntelResponse + related interfaces
  - useResource for /insights/cost
  - Full-width Cost Intelligence section:
    · Stats strip: total spend, avg/session, best value model, cache%
    · By-model bars: proportional cost/eff-pt bars (green→red) with
      efficiency score and formatted cost-per-point labels
    · Cache tier analysis: efficiency bars per 20%-bucket + avg cost
    · Expensive flops card: AlertTriangle + top wasteful sessions
      with session ID, model, cost, efficiency

Real data: $579 total, gpt-5.5 worst at $11.37/pt, claude-opus-4-7
best value at $0.52/pt

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- New backend modules: anomaly detection (z-score), AI recommendations
  (cross-module rules), project health score (composite 0-100 A-F grade)
- New endpoints: /insights/anomalies, /insights/recommendations,
  /insights/project-health (joined with earlier trends/time/tool/cost)
- New frontend /intelligence page with all 8 intelligence sections:
  Recommendations, Project Health, Anomaly Detection, Session Trends,
  Model Comparison, Prompt DNA, Cost Intelligence, Time Intelligence,
  Tool Footprint, Repository Activity
- Navigation.tsx: added Intelligence tab (Brain icon) between Analytics
  and Local Models
- Dashboard (page.tsx): removed 6 full-width intelligence sections,
  added compact IntelligenceSnapshot widget linking to /intelligence

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…pshot only

Prompt DNA detail now lives exclusively on /intelligence. Dashboard
sidebar now shows Burn Rate + Model Distribution + IntelligenceSnapshot
summary widget. Removed orphaned interface declarations and unused
Recharts/lucide imports.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Backend:
- recommendations: cost_model_switch now shows impact as efficiency gain
  when replacement model costs more per session (was null, now +49 pts)
- anomaly: add affected_sessions field to distinguish unique anomalous
  sessions from total anomaly signal count (3 sessions vs 5 signals)
- trends: return trend="new" instead of "steady" when no prior-period
  data exists — prevents false "steady" label with insufficient history

Frontend (intelligence/page.tsx — TypeScript interface gaps):
- TrendsResponse: add week_over_week, worst_day; TrendDay: add best,
  worst, total_tokens
- AnomalyResponse: add affected_sessions; update description to show
  "X signals across Y sessions" instead of "X anomalies"
- TimeIntelResponse: add worst_dow, sessions_skipped; TimeHourRow:
  add total_tokens
- ToolFootprintResponse: add sessions_skipped
- CostIntelResponse: add by_task_type, sessions_skipped, CostTaskRow
- ModelComparisonResponse: add task_type_filter
- GitProjectSummary: add latest_commit_time; display in repo activity
- Session Trends: handle new "new" trend state with blue colour + ✦ icon
- IntelligenceSnapshot: show "X sessions flagged / Y signals total"

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Replace every piece of technical jargon across the intelligence layer
so any user can understand their AI agent data at a glance:

Frontend (intelligence/page.tsx):
- Add quality score legend banner (0-100 scale explained with color key)
- Rename all 12 section titles to plain English
- Anomaly types: cost_spike → Unusually expensive, etc.
- Z-score σ notation → X× above normal
- Severity: critical/warning → Serious/Watch out
- Prompt DNA r=0.73 → strength labels (Very strong link, Moderate link, etc.)
- Prompt DNA cards: Boosts/Hurts efficiency → What works well/What to avoid
- Project health components: Smell-free/Efficiency → Consistency/Work quality
- Trends: improving/steady/declining/new → plain English labels
- pts WoW → pts vs last week, raw averages → X/100 quality scores
- Model comparison: added /100 suffix and legend for dual bars
- Cost: value-for-money framing, /quality pt label, clearer card titles
- Time: Best hour/day labels, scores shown as X/100
- Tool footprint: lean/standard/heavy/bloated → human size labels
- All chart tooltips updated to say Quality score

Backend (anomaly.py, recommendations.py):
- Anomaly detail strings: removed σ, added /100 quality scores, plain language
- Recommendation titles/details: removed /eff-pt, humanized smell labels,
  trend messages now say quality score not efficiency

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@VasiHemanth

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Thanks for the big effort on the Intelligence Layer! This is a substantial set of new capabilities on top of the existing session data — efficiency scoring (0-100), AI smell detection (context rot, loop traps, tool thrashing, etc.), burn rate forecasting with plan limits and trends, Prompt DNA analysis, multi-model comparison, project health grades, recommendations, anomalies, and more. The approach (pure stdlib, in-memory post-scan enrichment, no new dependencies) aligns well with the project's local-first philosophy, and the README documentation for the new layer is excellent.

I reviewed this using our pr-validate process (which enforces our project rules from .claude/CLAUDE.md) and spun up the exact changes from the PR head in an isolated test environment (backend on :8010 with the new modules + routes, frontend on :3001 wired to it via NEXT_PUBLIC_API_PORT=8010) to exercise the new endpoints and UI live.

Key findings

Policy blocker (hard requirement):

  • The PR title and several commits are conventional feat: / feat(intelligence):.
  • UPDATE.json was not touched. Per our rules, every push/branch with at least one feat: commit that targets main must add (or update) a top-of-releases[] entry. This keeps the in-app "What's new" banner useful and is enforced by the pre-push hook.
  • Without this change the hook will block the push. This is non-negotiable for feat: work.

Compatibility & integration work needed (this is why full validation will take time):

  • The core new features (especially efficiency scoring and the 5 smells) depend on session fields that the existing parsers do not populate for most agents: turns, error_count, tool_calls_detail (with input hashes), and file_read_paths.
  • As a result, in live testing many scores come back as degenerate defaults and most smells do not trigger. The advertised value of the Intelligence Layer won't be fully realized until we add enrichment for these fields during _scan_sessions_sync across the different agent sources (Claude, Codex, Copilot, Hermes, Grok, Antigravity, etc.). This is non-trivial work and will require coordinated changes.
  • Hardcoded fetch("http://localhost:8000${url}") in the new intelligence page (model comparison filter). This completely bypasses the project's dynamic API base/port handling, lib/api.ts, token auth for remote/tailnet access, etc. It needs to go through the existing client.

Other observations:

  • Very large single PR (18 files, ~191 kB diff, 14 new backend analysis modules + an 872-line monolithic frontend page). For reviewability, testing, and incremental shipping it would be much better split (e.g. core scoring + smells + enrichment first, then forecasting + trends, then the full UI + nav).
  • A few smaller issues around edge cases, date arithmetic in forecasting, and consistency of session dict mutation.
  • On the positive side: the new routes are clean and read-only, the UI direction looks promising, and the feature set (once the data model catches up) will be genuinely useful for understanding agent efficiency, catching problematic patterns, and forecasting spend.

Because this introduces so many new features and touches both the data model and UI, making everything properly compatible and robust is going to take some dedicated follow-up time (parser enrichment, integration fixes, tests, possibly splitting the work).

Suggested next steps

  1. Add the required UPDATE.json entry at the top (newest first) describing the Intelligence Layer with concrete user benefits and an href to /intelligence.
  2. Either split the PR or land the backend enrichment + core modules first.
  3. Fix the hardcoded localhost URL and start addressing the missing session fields so the new capabilities actually produce useful output on real data.
  4. Add basic tests for the pure analysis modules.

I'm happy to help review pieces, pair on the enrichment work, or re-run validation once updates are in. Let me know how you'd like to move forward.

(Full internal validation report with file:line details is available if needed.)

@VasiHemanth

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@Yagnasena1999

Tagging you on the review of this PR (full details in the previous comment: #85 (comment)).

Quick summary of what we found:

  • Policy blocker: Multiple commits but no update. This is required by our project rules (see .claude/CLAUDE.md and the pre-push hook). The hook will block landing without it.
  • Many new features (Intelligence Layer: efficiency scoring, AI smell detection, burn rate forecasting, Prompt DNA, model comparison, project health, recommendations, etc.). The implementation looks thoughtful (pure stdlib, no new deps).
  • Compatibility work will take time: The new scoring and smell features rely on session data fields (, , , ) that most existing parsers do not populate. In live testing with the PR code, many of the advertised capabilities return degenerate/empty results. This will require non-trivial enrichment work across the agent parsers in .
  • Hardcoded in the frontend intelligence page (bypasses our dynamic port/base/token handling).
  • Large scope (18 files / 14 new modules + big new page) — would be easier to review/ship if split.

We're happy to help with the compatibility work, parser enrichment, or splitting the PR. Let us know how you'd like to proceed!

@VasiHemanth

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Owner

@Yagnasena1999

Tagging you on the review of this PR (full details in the previous comment: #85 (comment)).

Quick summary of what we found:

  • Policy blocker: Multiple feat: commits but no UPDATE.json update. This is required by our project rules (see .claude/CLAUDE.md and the pre-push hook). The hook will block landing without it.
  • Many new features (Intelligence Layer: efficiency scoring, AI smell detection, burn rate forecasting, Prompt DNA, model comparison, project health, recommendations, etc.). The implementation looks thoughtful (pure stdlib, no new deps).
  • Compatibility work will take time: The new scoring and smell features rely on session data fields (turns, error_count, tool_calls_detail, file_read_paths) that most existing parsers do not populate. In live testing with the PR code, many of the advertised capabilities return degenerate/empty results. This will require non-trivial enrichment work across the agent parsers in backend/main.py.
  • Hardcoded localhost:8000 in the frontend intelligence page (bypasses our dynamic port/base/token handling).
  • Large scope (18 files / 14 new modules + big new page) — would be easier to review/ship if split.

We're happy to help with the compatibility work, parser enrichment, or splitting the PR. Let us know how you'd like to proceed!

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