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Upgrade econml to 0.16.0 and dowhy to 0.14 (numpy 2, Python 3.10–3.12)#338

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ZmeiGorynych merged 9 commits into
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bump_econml_dowhy
Jul 6, 2026
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Upgrade econml to 0.16.0 and dowhy to 0.14 (numpy 2, Python 3.10–3.12)#338
ZmeiGorynych merged 9 commits into
mainfrom
bump_econml_dowhy

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What

Upgrade the core stack off the 2022-era pins and adapt CausalTune to the new APIs, preserving behavior (same estimator set, same scoring, same public API):

  • dowhy 0.9.1 → 0.14, econml 0.14.1 → 0.16.0, numpy 1.23 → 2.2, FLAML 2.2 → 2.6, xgboost 1.7 → 2.1, scikit-learn <1.7, pandas <3; drop the setuptools pin.
  • Python 3.10–3.12 (python_requires>=3.10,<3.13); CI matrix and classifiers updated; runner + action versions bumped.

Key adaptations

  • numpy 2: vendor is_sequence (numpy.distutils removed); np.trapznp.trapezoid.
  • dowhy 0.14: adapt DoWhyWrapper.fit/estimate_effect + CausalEstimate construction to the new signatures; uniform 2-arg effect_tt; rewrite effect_stderr on the adapter's native apply_multitreatment; treatment_name_of/outcome_name_of accessors for the renamed adapter attributes; silence the string-dispatch DeprecationWarning narrowly.
  • econml 0.16: hide predict_proba on FLAML regression outcome models so DR learners don't reject them as classifiers; boolean search params (fit_intercept/fit_cate_intercept).
  • sklearn 1.6 / shap 0.48 / dcor 0.7 / Python 3.12 fixups (bool param validation; KernelExplainer vs read-only feature_names_in_; pairwise_distances transpose in psw_energy_distance; warnings.warn category).
  • Regression tests added for each of the above.

Notes

  • This branch also carries the earlier unmerged Ray-parallelization + BITE/Frobenius/CODEC commits it was based on (they were not yet in main).
  • New-feature adoption and deeper decoupling from dowhy internals (instance/functional dispatch) are intentionally deferred to a follow-up issue.

Testing

Full non-slow suite green locally on the target stack, except test_nhefs, which downloads an external CSV and only fails in the sandboxed environment (no outbound network to that host) — it should pass in CI.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

ZmeiGorynych and others added 9 commits July 6, 2026 15:32
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
Signed-off-by: whimo <whimox@gmail.com>
Signed-off-by: whimo <whimox@gmail.com>
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
Bump the core stack and adapt causaltune to the new APIs, preserving behavior
(same estimator set, same scoring, same public API):

- deps: dowhy 0.9.1->0.14, econml 0.14.1->0.16.0, numpy 1.23->2.2,
  FLAML 2.2->2.6, xgboost 1.7->2.1, sklearn <1.7, pandas <3; drop the
  setuptools pin; python_requires >=3.10,<3.13; CI matrix 3.10-3.12
- numpy 2: vendor is_sequence (numpy.distutils removed); np.trapz->np.trapezoid
- dowhy 0.14: adapt DoWhyWrapper.fit/estimate_effect + CausalEstimate to the
  new signatures; effect_tt uniform 2-arg; rewrite effect_stderr on the native
  apply_multitreatment; treatment/outcome-name accessors for renamed adapter
  attributes; silence the string-dispatch deprecation
- econml 0.16: hide predict_proba on FLAML regression outcome models so DR
  learners don't reject them; boolean search params for fit_intercept
- sklearn 1.6 / shap 0.48 / dcor 0.7 / Python 3.12 fixups
- add regression tests for each of the above

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
- lint (flake8): exclude notebooks/ (carried experiment runners) and add
  E226 to ignore (black-incompatible; pre-existing in datasets.py)
- test_nhefs/lalonde/acic: skip on external-download failure (NHEFS host now
  serves HTML, not CSV) instead of failing CI
- test_make_scores_all_backdoor_metrics: assert each metric is present and
  numeric rather than strictly finite (codec/frobenius/energy legitimately
  return inf on degenerate data; the point is exercising every metric branch)
- params.py: IV defaults projection/opt_reweighted -> bool (sklearn 1.6
  rejects int 0/1), matching the search-space fix (Codex)
- scoring.py: forward N_values into bite() in bite_score (Codex)
- CI: fail-fast: false so the matrix reports every OS/Python config

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
… fix)

The test drew unseeded random data (global numpy RNG in linear_multi_dataset)
and used no random_state on the split/LinearDML, with an over-tight 0.01
tolerance. It passed on 5/6 CI configs but drifted to 0.26 on windows-3.12.
Seed the data generation, split, and estimator so the estimate is
deterministic and reproducible across platforms; keep a 0.2 tolerance that
reflects estimator variance rather than the flaky 0.01.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
The propensity model is fit on df[propensity_modifiers] (PropensityScoreWeighter)
but scoring predicted on df[get_effect_modifiers() + get_common_causes()] -- a
different list whose order is set-derived (_observed_common_causes_names) and
thus nondeterministic across Python hash seeds. sklearn 1.6 now strictly enforces
matching feature names AND order between fit and predict, so this flaked on
windows/py3.10 (worsened by duplicate columns when effect_modifiers overlap
common_causes). Predict on the exact list the model was fit on so the columns
always match. Verified stable across 10 hash seeds; propensity/scoring suite
(17 tests) unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Signed-off-by: Egor Kraev <egor.kraev@gmail.com>
@ZmeiGorynych
ZmeiGorynych merged commit 7ce6692 into main Jul 6, 2026
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2 participants